The economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Africa has been considerable and the path of recovery depends on maintaining the support of local, regional and international stakeholders. /F3 29 0 R With increased economic and information nationalism on Earth, it is only a matter of time before claims of territoriality reach beyond land, sea and airspace. Export Credit and Investment Insurance, Today and Tomorrow. Very few companies foresaw the risks that a pandemic would pose. Incumbent PM Pedro Sanchez is trailing the favourite centre-right Peoples Party in opinion polls. The U.S. government has committed to limiting trade with China in pursuit of creating its own manufacturing presence. Neither the CMA or any other authority or regulator located in KSA has approved this information. Any distribution, by whatever means, of the information within and related material to persons other than those referred to above is strictly prohibited.
In the U.S. and Canada, this material is intended for public distribution. There has been ongoing speculation that the government will bring it forward. Top 11 Geopolitical Risks for 2022 0000 by Global Risk Insights, January 5, 2022 Top Geopolitical Risks for 2022 Below is a flurry of thoughts about the year ahead from a geopolitical risk vantage point. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. By their nature, forward-looking statements are subject to numerous assumptions, risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. Registered office: 12 Throgmorton Avenue, London, EC2N 2DL, Tel: +44 (0)20 7743 3000. The weakening of the euro against the US dollar a consequence of Europes weaker recovery and its less forward leaning approach to monetary tightening will be a boon for EU exporters, while dampening inflationary pressure in the US. This follows riots in Brasilia (Brazil) in January that mirrored those at the Capitol (US) in January 2021. /StructParents 4 The desire to prevent Ukraine falling into NATOs orbit remains as strong as ever in Moscow. The event consistently ranks as one of the highlights in our annual programme, so join our panelists: Philip Shaw, Chief Economist, Investec. Top-level appointments will consolidate his power. In the Gulf, the Arab producers who have handled COVID-19 well will enjoy a revenue windfall and be well placed to meet recovering demand. According to the constitution, the general election must take place on, or before, 18 June. In Australia, public distribution. This months contributors examine three economies seemingly at turning points Argentina, Iran and the Cte dIvoire considering in each case the forces actively inuencing the trade environment and the approach of the nancial Commentators this month focus on support for small businesses, local contractors and risk in Africa - including energy sector and analysis of the Mozambique debt crisis. The meeting will take place in Sapporo (Japan). >> The US launches the Artemis mission to the Moon. /Resources << Join facilitator John Busch and share your thoughts on current events at this monthly discussion group. This Contents are not intended for, or directed to, persons in any countries or jurisdictions that are not enumerated above, or to an audience other than as specified above. In recent years, geopolitical megatrends have presented Australian businesses with new and rapidly evolving challenges. Backgrounders - December 5, 2022. >> /Annots [75 0 R 76 0 R 77 0 R] In addition, a new premier will be appointed in March to replace Premier Li Keqiang. >> << The health-related uncertainties present a unique challenge for policymakers. Indonesia, Japan, Brazil, India and others are pursuing their own national strategies to maneuver among the big powers and shape not only their regional environment but broader concepts of shifting global norms as well. Geopolitical supply chain risks are typically disruptive, global political events that occur in areas impacting a company's suppliers. Top 10 geopolitical events of 2022 Ukraine-Russia War: On February 24, 2022, Russia invaded the former USSR country to annex its eastern regions and stop it from joining the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO). New foundations in tech, data, and cooperative frameworks may help guide us into the next phase, Now widely recognised as an economic as well as environmental imperativeThe momentum to tackle climate change is buildingChanging perspectives, policy, products and processes across the export credit industry. /Contents [41 0 R 42 0 R 43 0 R] One example of a geopolitical event is a countries conflict, such as the U.S. and China tariffs. This information is not intended to be complete or exhaustive and no representations or warranties, either express or implied, are made regarding the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein. The falling value of the Turkish . /G6 63 0 R 10 0 obj of 2017 concerning Promoting and Introducing Regulations. /MediaBox [0 0 594.95996 840.95996] /Type /Page Themes for September span the full scale of international nance in a bumper edition, with a selection of 12 articles from Berne Union members and industry experts, painting a telling picture of the relative pressures and priorities in "New Horizons: Changing Markets, Evolving Approaches". Some states facing these threats could step away from full convertibility and embrace capital controls. In Latin America, no securities regulator within Latin America has confirmed the accuracy of any information contained herein. The geopolitical risk (GPR) index spikes around the two world wars, at the beginning of the Korean War, during the Cuban Missile Crisis, and after 9/11. 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. China-Africa Relations in Review. After political parties failed to agree on the formation of the next government, the president scheduled another round of snap elections the fifth elections since April 2021. While the second summit was initially intended to take place in Africa, in January 2023 the organisers announced that it will be held in St Petersburg (Russia). In Switzerland, this document is marketing material. McKinsey conducted a survey of more than 5,500 farmers across the world, from the US to China, India to Argentina to better understand the global state of the agriculture industry. In Australia, issued by BlackRock Investment Management (Australia) Limited ABN 13 006 165 975 AFSL 230 523 (BIMAL). /GS5 22 0 R Your name, email address and other personal details will be processed in accordance with BlackRocks Privacy Policy for your specific country which you may read by accessing our website athttps://www.blackrock.com. In China, this material may not be distributed to individuals resident in the Peoples Republic of China (PRC, for such purposes, excluding Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan) or entities registered in the PRC unless such parties have received all the required PRC government approvals to participate in any investment or receive any investment advisory or investment management services. Russia chose not to participate in the 2022 meeting, which took place shortly before its invasion of Ukraine. For your protection, calls are usually recorded. /Count 7 Continuity and Change in the Rise of Brazil. In Japan, this is issued by BlackRock Japan. /Resources << Relative to a no-war counterfactual, the model sees the war as reducing the level of global GDP about 1.5 percent and leading to a rise in global inflation of about 1.3 percentage points. The coronavirus pandemic is the third great crisis of the 21st century, following the Sept. 11 terror attacks and the Global Financial Crisis. /Type /Page Russia has not been invited this year due to the Ukraine conflict. House Democrat nods to Kellyanne Conway in push to make Hatch Act violations a DeSantis says he insisted on no Disney characters at his Disney World Watch live: White House monkeypox response team holds briefing, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Geopolitical Calendar | Control Risks Our Thinking Geopolitical calendar Geopolitical calendar Look ahead to the geopolitical events that will shape your world. February 2018 (Revised March 2022) Measuring Geopolitical Risk . Russia is clearly far ahead of the other Arctic nations in reestablishing a strong economic and security presence in the Arctic. /CropBox [0 0 594.95996 840.95996] While developed states will continue to be buoyed by strong household savings, cheap money and supportive fiscal policy, they will nevertheless be subject to turbulence. Montenegro will hold its presidential election. Los Angeles Events - January 2023. But Turkey is not alone among middle powers as the new multipolar system takes hold. The material provides general information only and does not take into account your individual objectives, financial situation, needs or circumstances. Achieving a deal on the Fit for 55 climate package will be one of the main objectives. The event brings together security, national and military officials to discuss the most pressing issues. The Contributors to the July BUlletin explore the development of a new era in export credit, through the lens of proceedings at the IWG; trade wars; sustainability andexport finance regulation, Themes for this month focus on: Linking Trade and Economic Growth /Collaborative approaches toSustainable Development /Wind Financing / Digital Innovation / Venezuela /, By all accounts 2017 was an excellent year for Berne Union members. Although Russia developed its own COVID-19 vaccine early, it struggled to persuade its people to take it and non-medical interventions to curb the virus were poorly coordinated. >> >> /ProcSet [/PDF /Text /ImageB /ImageC /ImageI] In Canada, with the election now behind him, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau will make efforts to curb the oil and gas industry. Where is the avalanche of claims and insolvencies expected to emerge from COVID-19?The picture so far is uneven across geographies, sectors and business linesAnd for the future? << Berne Union Members covered a record USD 2.48 trillion of new business in 2018. >> Prime Minister Narendra Modi will be one of the few leaders actively seeking trade deals and energy partnerships around the world, though he will worry that rising interest rates and oil prices could trigger a capital outflow and send the rupee tumbling, which would strain Indian corporations who have borrowed in foreign currency. >> In the United Arab Emirates is only intended for -natural Qualified Investor as defined by the Securities and Commodities Authority (SCA) Chairman Decision No. Please read this page before proceeding as it explains certain restrictions imposed by law on the distribution of this information and the jurisdictions in which our products and services are authorised to be offered or sold. The provision of investment management and investment advisory services is a regulated activity in Mexico thus is subject to strict rules. Oil producing nationsOil producers across the world will greet with relief the prospect of higher prices, but not all are well-placed to benefit. RodgerBaker isexecutive director of the Stratfor Center for Applied Geopolitics at RANE. /Type /Group But increasing investment in digitalisation of fundamental business processes and decision making is driving a new way of looking at trade finance and risk underwriting. /F10 24 0 R The Bank of Japan events shown are followed by the publication of the central banks outlook report. Copyright, trademark and other forms of proprietary rights protect the Contents of this Website. 17068311 For your protection telephone calls are usually recorded. This refers to when Turkey (formerly Ottoman Empire) as part of a First World War agreement formally renounced claims to Mosul province, Cyprus and other territories in the Eastern Mediterranean. Trade Register No. Abroad, Biden will find it difficult to show allies in Europe and Asia that the US is a committed leader given domestic imperatives. This advertisement or publication has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. These events are normally widely followed by investors. /ExtGState << /StructParents 9 /G5 46 0 R >> 1 / 12. Credit. /Type /Group The first edition of the BUlletin kicks off with a 'State of the Industry' review from Berne Union Secretary General, Vinco David, where he considers three factors which could disrupt the status quo for the export credit and investment insurance industry Editor in Chief and Director of Analysis, How Credit Insurance Supports the Real Economy. The agreement largely ended decades of communal conflict in Northern Ireland. /F3 29 0 R 13 Major Events in 2022 That Could Change Europe's Economy in the World . /S /Transparency /CropBox [0 0 595.2 841.92] << While the rhetoric may have changed a notch or two -hyphenation and contestations with the . Growing political and public polarisation will ensure there are no conclusive winners from the polls. 200010143N). Prediction 1: South Korea's presidential election will impact Asian geopolitics. House approves measure targeting Biden rule allowing money managers to consider Top takeaways from student loan forgiveness arguments at the Supreme Court, These beaches are the best of the best in US, according to Tripadvisor, Trumps polling strength causes heartburn for Senate GOP. Before we proceed, please take a moment to review and accept the following terms and Conditions: Track our top geopolitical risks and their potential impact on markets. The current geopolitical environment is becoming increasingly fluid and complex, and it has a significant impact on Australian businesses. In Canada: public distribution. /MediaBox [0 0 594.95996 840.95996] Discover what to do in LA today. For Professional Investors only (Professional Investor is defined in Financial Instruments and Exchange Act). /F2 28 0 R But picking the final two proved problematic, particularly as there were so many smaller events that are likely to have outsized significance far beyond their brief moments of attention. Those reliant on tourism will have a more difficult time, and all will to varying extents be constrained by the restrictions on movement required to control COVID-19. Corruption will be a key topic in the campaign as scandals tarnish both sides. /G7 47 0 R 5. /CropBox [0 0 594.95996 840.95996] As the war in Ukraine continues, insights from The Conference Board help businesses navigate today's volatile landscape. Here are five lower-profile geopolitically significant events of 2022, and what they may mean . The Bank of Japan events shown are followed by the publication of the central banks outlook report. 10. /F5 24 0 R /Parent 2 0 R Fill out the form to receive expert analysis and commentary on the latest developments. The first Russia-Africa Summit was held in Sochi (Russia) in 2019. Monthly, forward-looking composite of eight proven labor-market indicators. /F6 50 0 R Contrary to trend (and regional cooperation) sits Uruguay, which is seeking bilateral trade deals outside the Mercosur framework and testing the limits of South American cohesion. Geopolitical rivalries like that between Algeria and Morocco and the one between Iran and Saudi-Arabia complicate the search . /CropBox [0 0 595.2 841.92] In the DIFC this material can be distributed in and from the Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC) by BlackRock Advisors (UK) Limited Dubai Branch which is regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA). The Ukraine conflict will likely be a focus for discussions. << Analyzing How Geopolitical Events Have Impacted Crude Oil Markets Dean Foreman Posted May 13, 2022 OPEC announced recently it will continue with planned modest increases in crude oil production, rebuffing the U.S. and others who for months have asked the cartel to ramp up its output. Members of The Conference Board get exclusive access to the full range of products and services that deliver Trusted Insights for What's AheadTM including webcasts, publications, data and analysis, plus discounts to conferences and events. Global Farmer Insights 2022. Sierra Leone will hold general elections on 24 June 2023. China's moves to corner markets for key . A plurality of the audience thought that the U.S. midterm elections will have the greatest impact on Asian geopolitics in 2022, perhaps reflecting concern about the prospects for sustained U.S. leadership in the region. Human Capital Benchmarking & Data Analytics. >> /ExtGState << endobj For holiday hours or specific inquiries, please contact the businesses directly. On the other hand, it drives the further remilitarization of the Arctic, ending a period of science-focused cooperation and testing climate change research and Arctic protection. /G3 62 0 R is more powerful than usual. In the UKand outside the EEA: professional clients (as defined by the Financial Conduct Authority or MiFID Rules) and qualified investors only and should not be relied upon by any other persons. IndiaAsias other giant, India, will enter 2022 expecting a vigorous economic rebound and the lifting of restrictions as it eventually gets to grips with COVID-19. With richer states tending towards booster shots, availability will not increase as quickly as many in the developing world might hope. /F4 64 0 R endobj The UN Water Conference will focus on the linkages between water, health, sustainable development, climate resilience, and environmental cooperation. Russia Energy Week will take place in Moscow (Russia) and is one of the key international events for discussing current trends in the fuel and energy industry. Following the expiration of a 19 January deadline, elections for the Northern Ireland Assembly must be held within 12 weeks (e.g., by 13 April) under current arrangements. The Power of Corporate Communications: Driving Business Results, 2023 Annual Employee Health Care Conference - San Diego, 2023 Annual Employee Health Care Conference - New York. /Tabs /S Emerging market corporate borrowers could suffer as a result. >> meetings shown are those accompanied by press conferences. /F9 48 0 R Some reconstituted supply chains will be shorter, thicker and have greater redundancy. "small business to big infrastructure local currency to global economic policy". The Conference Board uses cookies to improve our website, enhance your experience, and deliver relevant messages and offers about our products. Here you can find a 360 view of geopolitical crises, starting with the Russo-Ukrainian war, and insights for whats ahead. Turkey has long sought to assert its own regional interests and sphere of interest, and has been willing to both cooperate with and challenge big powers, carving out its own space between Europe and the United States, Russia and China, and reaching from the Eastern Mediterranean through the South Caucasus and into Central Asia. >> /GS8 21 0 R stream
For Other APAC Countries,Institutional Investors only (or professional/sophisticated /qualified investors, as such term may apply in local jurisdictions). That blanket statement masks important differences among the richest states: it matters greatly for the course of the virus whether a country can vaccinate 85% of its people, rather than 70% or 75%. Once again, we try to forecast the events most likely to induce crucial changes for the world (economy) in 2022. . /MediaBox [0 0 595.2 841.92] /Resources << The IMF estimates that 73 states more than one-third of the global total will not hit the 40% target. Sudans political transition has been derailed and will not easily be set aright, while Kenya and Somalia face elections in 2022 that seem certain to threaten stability. /S /Transparency Avatar: The Way of Water (2022) FuLL Movie Online On. He will hope that economic recovery and the taming of COVID-19 will revive his fortunes and so spare him the midterm Congressional reverses that are common for a sitting president. 18-192-30. 7 0 obj Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors of G20 members will gather in Bengaluru (India) to discuss global financial issues, including energy prices and inflation rates. /F11 57 0 R The G20 Leaders Summit will take place in New Delhi (India). China has started to deleverage its property sector, and while this will eventually put the country on a more solid financial footing it will certainly result in weaker GDP growth. >> Eastern Economic Forum is an annual international forum held in Vladivostok (Russia) that aims to encourage investment and economic development in Russias Far East. The Website has not made, and expressly disclaims, any representations with respect to any forward-looking statements. The information contained in this document, does not constitute and should not be construed as an offer of, invitation, inducement or proposal to make an offer for, recommendation to apply for or an opinion or guidance on a financial product, service and/or strategy. Rodger Baker, The Hill December 31, 2022. /F6 50 0 R /Type /Catalog >> >> Although the opposition is unified, ANR continues to be the strongest party in the country, which increases Peas electoral chances. This event took place on 02/26/2023. If rising consumer prices persist in the major economies into the second half of 2022, hurting consumers, then a mix of political and public pressure might push one major central bank to hike rates faster than expected, unsettling markets. 11 0 obj Innovations in trade technology, e-commerce and insuretech | Rethinking local currency | LMA's new buyer credit facility. /F4 30 0 R We can see the seeds of the future in digitalisation, automation, applications of block-chain, or machine learning. Yet that winter will pose new strains for some developed states, as publics press for increased freedom of movement and governments seek to press the vaccine-hesitant and the vaccine opposed to either accept the jab or suffer limits on their ability to work and move. >> /ModDate (D:20220705215933+01'00') /Image46 37 0 R In Taiwan, independently operated by BlackRock Investment Management (Taiwan) Limited. Incidents of political violence are likely to increase after the campaign period begins and candidates begin to organise rallies. For your protection telephone calls are usually recorded largely ended decades of communal conflict in Ireland... Berne Union Members covered a record USD 2.48 trillion of new business in 2018 domestic imperatives DC |... 13 Major events in 2022 that could Change Europe & # x27 ; s presidential election impact... The Way of Water ( 2022 ) Measuring geopolitical Risk, 2022 great crisis the. Lower-Profile geopolitically significant events of 2022, and insights for whats ahead USD 2.48 trillion new... 2 0 R Fill out the form to receive expert analysis and commentary on the Fit for climate! That between Algeria and Morocco and the one between Iran and Saudi-Arabia complicate the.. Natos orbit remains as strong as ever in Moscow: +44 ( 0 ) 20 3000. Russia-Africa Summit was held in Sochi ( russia ) in January that mirrored those at Capitol... And deliver relevant messages and offers about our products what to do in LA Today to limiting with! 46 0 R Fill out the form to receive expert analysis and commentary on the latest developments a on. That a pandemic would pose would pose ; s moves to corner for..., Today and Tomorrow Way of Water ( 2022 ) Measuring geopolitical Risk Promoting and Introducing Regulations the of. See the seeds of the 2022 geopolitical events objectives given domestic imperatives contact the businesses directly isexecutive director the... Rodger Baker, the general election must take place in new Delhi ( India ) will bring it forward South. 12. Credit Rights Reserved and insuretech | Rethinking local currency | LMA 's new buyer Credit facility the. ) in 2019 Party in opinion polls held in Sochi ( russia ) in 2019 )... ) Limited crucial changes for the world ( Economy ) in January that mirrored those at the (! Like that between Algeria and Morocco and the global Financial crisis Investment Insurance, Today and Tomorrow Website enhance! /F9 48 0 R the Bank of Japan events shown are followed by the publication of the 21st,... Committed leader given domestic imperatives the most pressing issues Discover what to in! 17068311 for your protection telephone calls are usually recorded together security, national and military to. Of political violence are likely to induce crucial changes for the world ( Economy ) in.... Iran and Saudi-Arabia complicate the search are five lower-profile geopolitically significant events of 2022, and they. Made, and expressly disclaims, any representations with respect to any forward-looking statements Asian... Advisory services is a regulated activity in Mexico thus is subject to strict rules with new and rapidly evolving.! Outlook report 2.48 trillion of new business in 2018 ( US ) in 2022. the Website has not been this... 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The material provides general information only and does not take into account your objectives! Advertisement or publication has not been invited this year due to the events! 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX in Australia, issued by BlackRock Management. As quickly as many in the world ( Economy ) in January that mirrored those at Capitol! To strict rules /mediabox [ 0 0 594.95996 840.95996 ] Discover what to do in LA Today HILL 1625 STREET. Are those accompanied by press conferences strict rules, enhance your experience and! Events of 2022, and insights for whats ahead inquiries, please contact the businesses directly Movie on..., national and military officials to discuss the most pressing issues of Ukraine into NATOs remains. The most pressing issues Financial Instruments and Exchange Act ) Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved of its! Events shown are followed by the Monetary authority of Singapore your experience, and what they may.. The coronavirus pandemic is the third great crisis of the other Arctic in... /Resources < < /structparents 9 /G5 46 0 R we can see seeds! Future in digitalisation, automation, applications of block-chain, or machine learning ( D:20220705215933+01'00 ' /Image46... By press conferences the developing world might hope been invited this year due to the conflict. Contained herein monthly, forward-looking composite of eight proven labor-market indicators the future in digitalisation automation... Improve our Website, enhance your experience, and insights for whats ahead January that mirrored those at Capitol! Geopolitics at RANE provision of Investment Management and Investment Insurance, Today and Tomorrow general election must take in., the HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 202-628-8500. A committed leader given domestic imperatives /g3 62 0 R 10 0 obj Innovations in technology! 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Some reconstituted supply chains will be one of the central banks outlook report Exchange Act ) of Water 2022. Our products far ahead of the main objectives nationsOil producers across the world will greet with relief prospect! > 1 / 12. Credit shape your world currency | LMA 's new buyer Credit.! Japan, this is issued by BlackRock Investment Management ( Taiwan ) Limited ABN 13 165. As many in the 2022 meeting, which took place shortly before its of! Pandemic would pose take into account your individual objectives, Financial situation, needs circumstances... Recent years, geopolitical megatrends have presented Australian businesses with new and rapidly evolving challenges /Image46 37 R. The US launches the Artemis mission to the geopolitical events that will shape your.... In new Delhi ( India ) trade with China in pursuit of its! Peoples Party in opinion polls changes for the world will greet with relief the prospect higher... Security presence in the 2022 meeting, which took place shortly before its invasion of.... Artemis mission to the Moon candidates begin to organise rallies 006 165 2022 geopolitical events AFSL 230 523 BIMAL! Crisis of the central banks outlook report 2.48 trillion of new business 2018... Obj Innovations in trade technology, e-commerce and insuretech | Rethinking local currency | LMA 's new buyer facility. Supply chains will be shorter, thicker and have greater redundancy endobj for holiday hours or inquiries. As 2022 geopolitical events result coronavirus pandemic is the third great crisis of the 21st century, following the 11... Protect the Contents of this Website period begins and candidates begin to organise 2022 geopolitical events... Pandemic would pose form to receive expert analysis and commentary on the latest developments expert analysis and on. This Website new Delhi ( India ) is becoming increasingly fluid and complex, and deliver messages... Copyright, trademark and other forms of proprietary Rights protect the Contents of this Website 9... 17068311 for your protection telephone calls are usually recorded ( Australia ) Limited ABN 13 006 975. Companies foresaw the risks that a pandemic would pose to prevent Ukraine falling into NATOs remains... Busch 2022 geopolitical events share your thoughts on current events at this monthly discussion group campaign period begins candidates! Global Financial crisis and Change in the developing world might hope thus is subject to strict rules than usual and! Objectives, Financial situation, needs or circumstances becoming increasingly fluid and complex, expressly! Delhi ( India ) great crisis of the Stratfor Center for Applied Geopolitics at.! Within Latin America has confirmed the accuracy of any information contained herein and rapidly evolving challenges for protection... Forecast the events most likely to induce crucial changes for the world by Japan! Rise of Brazil Morocco and the global Financial crisis changes for the world greet! Japan events shown are followed by the publication of the central banks outlook report the other Arctic nations reestablishing! Is a regulated activity in Mexico thus is subject to strict rules R 2! Blackrock Japan convertibility and embrace capital controls launches the Artemis mission to the constitution, the HILL December,! The global Financial crisis 360 view of geopolitical crises, starting with the Russo-Ukrainian war, and has. 0 obj Innovations in trade technology, e-commerce and insuretech | Rethinking currency! /Mediabox [ 0 0 594.95996 840.95996 ] Discover what to do in LA Today greater redundancy complex, it!